It’s the day after another exciting Super Bowl win for the New York Giants (I have the state right, but once again the wrong favorite team — Jets), and you can bet some Wall Street players were a bit slower to get out of the gate this morning. Couple that with some European economic concerns this morning, and the averages were in for a bit of a struggle to gain traction.
Earnings results helped push down shares of Humana (HUM) (read their report here) and Sysco Foods (SYY) (report here), while toymaker Hasbro (HAS) rallied after seeing an early dip on their earnings numbers. Wall Street analyst downgrades pulled down stocks like State Street Corp (STT), Amgen (AMGN), and PNC Financial (PNC). Bucking today’s weakness were shares of Walt Disney (DIS), which caught some positive analyst commentary and is slated to come out with earnings numbers this week.
During the latest rally (the Dow is up 17.5% since early October), analyst opinions about how high the market can go tend to hit a crescendo — almost like clockwork — before the next pullback. Most pundits point to a better-than-expected economic recovery for the bullish bias.
Has the economy really recovered, though? The answer depends on who you talk to. Those who are well-off probably see things in a positive light. People who are still struggling to pay the bills, however, likely see things very differently. I doubt many workers who have been unemployed for multiple years will buy the argument than things have gotten much better.
From an investing perspective, we have plenty of anecdotes to derive information from. Things like earnings reports, economic data points, surveys, etc. can all shape the way we think about the economy. The business media certainly never hesitates to ask market-watchers to chime in on these topics. What bugs me is when I read super-bullish articles after the market has already put together a big run. This trend tends to get traders in near market tops, rather than reinforcing a bit of patience in the near-term. But that’s the game. I understand why it happens, and have gotten used to it after my many years in the markets.
Getting ultra bullish is not a requirement if you’re looking to put money to work in a prudent fashion. Common sense and consistency work best when it comes to building long-term wealth. Whenever the media’s message is that “the train is leaving the station,” you can bet investors (and definitely day traders) could be in for a bit of short-term pain rather than gain. Consider these points if you feel your emotions influencing your market judgement.Bloomberg: “Rick’s Imports Strippers for Indianapolis”
Yes, you read that right. Believe it or not, the above was an actual headline on Bloomberg.com this past Friday. In fact, it was the third headline down in their “top stories” box!
I naturally wondered what the investment implications were for this article. Granted, gentleman’s club operator Rick’s Cabaret Inc. (RICK) does trade on the Nasdaq, but the story was simply something related to this past weekend’s Super Bowl. Now I know Bloomberg.com has been a trusted business news source for many years, and will remain so, but to make the storyline above a key headline? Come on now.
Anyone that reads my newsletters knows I shake my head often when I talk about business media today and the “cheap pop” tactics that are in place to bring in ratings. Don’t get me wrong, there are plenty of talented people who produce great commentary for viewers, but there exists a lot of amateur-hour work as well. In some cases, I look at the information as no better than local news coverage. Anyone that relies on the local news to break down economic and business stories is likely going to get nothing more than a generic, watered-down overview of where things stand.
As I always say, you should find yourself a few key sources that can keep you focused on building wealth. Consider what really matters to your bottom line, and leave the sideshows to others who think entertainment is essential to their investing results.Our Beat The Markets with Dividend Stocks eBook Has Arrived!
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I hope everyone had a chance to check out our Dividend.com Premium members-only weekend articles , including new features that highlight some of the biggest winners and losers from the week that was, such as analyst upgrades/downgrades and earnings/story stocks. These articles are a great way to catch up on the week that was in the markets. We also have a rundown of how various Dividend ETFs performed on the week.
Thanks for reading everybody. I’ll see you tomorrow!