Why It Will Be Years Before I Turn Bearish on Gold?
Posted on February 07, 2013 at 10:51 AM EST
These days it seems central banks in the global economy just don’t want their currencies to rise in value. In fact, they are in a race to devalue their currencies in the false hope that a cheaper currency will make their goods and services cheaper, thus increasing demand for their goods in the global economy. In 2009, when the Federal Reserve first began implementing quantitative easing, there weren’t a lot of other central banks doing the same thing. Now the number of central banks working to print month to devalue their currencies has increased, as when the U.S. dollar decreases in value, the value of U.S. dollar reserves at about 60% of other world central banks gold is affected. But aside from major central banks running their printing presses overtime, the central banks of emerging markets’ economies and other smaller nations are getting into the game, too! Take the central bank of New Zealand, for example; it sold 66 million worth of New Zealand Dollars in November of 2012, and another 200 million in December to keep its currency from rising in value. (Source: Wall Street Journal , January 30, 2013.) On the other side of the world, central banks in Latin America are in an outright currency war. Stronger currencies are causing their exports to decline. So, central banks from Peru, Colombia, Costa Rica, and Brazil are making sure their currency doesn’t rise in value by intervening and printing more paper currency or by decreasing their interest rates. (Source: Buenos Aires Herald , January 31, 2013.) Mexico, which has long held a hands-off approach to the currency market, is considering interest rate cuts because of the rising value of the peso and concerns regarding economic growth. The above are only a few of the central banks making headlines with their activities. Other central banks might do off market operations to keep their currencies from rising, which we will never hear about. But what holds true is that the list of central banks in the global economy printing money is increasing. If you add central banks from Switzerland, United Kingdom, Japan, Hong Kong, Russia, and South Korea to the banks just mentioned, the fate of world fiat currencies looks bleak. On the other side of the equation, I see gold bullion as the greatest opportunity to offset the paper money printing of world central banks. As the fiat currencies go down in value, gold bullion will rise in value. Central banks are certainly able to turn up their printing presses to print paper money, but they can’t just create more gold, as there is only a limited amount of it. I will turn bearish on the ... Read More
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