Are the Russians on the Verge of a Major Arctic Oil Coup?
Posted on December 05, 2012 at 05:00 AM EST
As I move into the main meetings here in Moscow, something unexpected has joined the conversations on oil prices , European pipeline prospects, liquefied natural gas (LNG) trading scenarios, and the prospects of unconventional shale. That something is venture capital funding. The Kremlin has developed several venture capital funds with potential state-supported investments amounting to at least $12 billion. It may be early yet, but I see signs of where these new efforts may be directed. You should watch out for two aspects with this story. The first must happen in Russia. But the second is likely to take shape in an unexpected place: Boston, MA. Here's why. It has to do with Arctic oil . Several years ago, then-Prime Minister Vladimir Putin declared that the under-used and under-equipped shipbuilding sector would be transformed into a global leader in the design and construction of offshore platforms and drilling rigs. Of even greater interest was the initial challenge given at the time - to develop a whole new generation of ice-resistant platforms for Arctic drilling. Moscow had already recognized it could arrest a serious decline in its mature Western Siberian fields only by moving out in three directions. They are: Into highly promising but infrastructure-poor Eastern Siberian; Onto the continental shelf; or, North of the Arctic Circle. Then the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) issued its long-awaited Circum-Arctic Resource Appraisal (CARA). This major multi-year effort evaluated petroleum resource potential for all areas north of the Arctic Circle (66.56° north latitude) having at least a 10% chance of one or more significant oil or gas accumulations (50 million barrels of oil equivalent or above). CARA concluded that 84% of the total undiscovered oil and gas left in the world is sitting offshore, the bulk of it in three huge Arctic basins. Russia, the survey concluded, controlled the largest single chunk of it. To continue reading, please click here...