Electoral And Market Expectations
Posted on November 06, 2012 at 12:04 PM EST
Ezra Klein has an (unscientific) sample of pundits with their views of the electoral outcome for the Presidential election and there are 11 calls for an Obama victory and 8 calls for a Romney victory. My favorite forecaster is intrade. Notwithstanding the argument that polls are where people voice their opinions and prediction markets are [...]

Ezra Klein has an (unscientific) sample of pundits with their views of the electoral outcome for the Presidential election and there are 11 calls for an Obama victory and 8 calls for a Romney victory. My favorite forecaster is intrade.

Notwithstanding the argument that polls are where people voice their opinions and prediction markets are where people put their money on the line, I was convinced of the prediction markets when in 1980, the polls showed a neck-and-neck race between Reagan and … [visit DailyMarkets.com to read more] or compare Best Mortgage Rates, Credit Card Rewards or Best Credit Cards


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