Happy News for Gold Bugs
Posted on July 03, 2011 at 15:25 PM EDT
One new signal for execution on the coming week's open: My trading setup for gold goes from cash to bullish. This signal will last at most three weeks. It's based on excessively negative trader positioning in gold futures and options by large speculators, whom my COTs Timer trading system fades. See my newly updated latest signals table for more details on this setup and my others based on the weekly Commitments of Traders reports from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. A few other highlights:
- Financials: My setup for the BKX U.S. Bank Index remains bearish for a second week. This is based on highly bearish trader positioning in three-month Eurodollar futures and options.
- Crude oil: My crude signal remains bullish but will go to cash in a week's time.
To Canadian readers, hope you enjoyed a good Canada Day. To American readers, have a great 4th of July. And good luck to all this week!
TAGS: SPX, S&P 500, gold, BKX, Bank Index, natural gas, Nikkei, crude oil,Treasury, bond, COT, Commitments of Traders,derivatives, Black Swans,market timing,trading system development, CFTC,Commodity Futures Trading Commission,COTs Timer, out-of-sample testing, walk-around testing
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